Feb 4, 2019

Watch Report No.3

Watch Report No.3      Dec. 25, 2018

§The Japanese Government’s Efforts to Define its Peacebuilding Role on the Korean Peninsula and Beyond are not Evident
Worrying developments have become evident in the implementation of the agreements on the Korean Peninsula’s denuclearization.

A commentary entitled, “When does the US wake up from foolish greed and daydream?” by Kwon Jong Gun, director of the Institute for American Studies of the Foreign Ministry of the DPRK [1], appeared on November 2, 2018 on the Korean Central News Agency’s news site. It implied that DPRK criticism of the US stance in negotiations with North Korea has escalated one step further. Although with reservations, the commentary mentioned for the first time the possibility of a change in DPRK’s policy, a change which had not been mentioned in commentaries posted during October.

Refraining from directly criticizing US President Trump, the commentary stated that evidence of US efforts to improve US-DPRK relations cannot not be found, and attacked “high-ranking officials of the White House and the US administration.” Concerning the Singapore summit, Director Kwon said that, “What top leaders of the DPRK and the US promised at (the) historic Singapore meeting in June (by) shaking hands, is to put an end to the hostile relations of centuries between the DPRK and the US and (to) make a new history of improving relations.” The commentary underscored that the core of the Singapore summit, hailed by the whole world, is that the two countries agreed to make a new history of improving their relations. And, concerning the current US stance which has only stressed the need for sanctions and pressure on the DPRK, Kwon said, “The improvement of relations and sanctions are incompatible” and, “’Friendship’ is inconsistent with ‘pressure’.” Additionally, Kwon questioned whether, “the nuclear issue of the DPRK is really a sore spot that caused all the complicated problems including the tension on the Korean Peninsula and the bedeviled DKRP-US relations.”

Then Kwon argued that taking into account the historic background of the nuclear issue, “the DPRK-US negotiations should be (a) simultaneous and phased course based on reciprocity and equality.” Kwon stated that based on this stance, “Now that we gave all things possible to the US, things it hardly deserves, by taking proactive and good-will measures, what remains to be done is the US corresponding reply.” The DPRK demands that the US take action and, “Unless there is any reply, the DPRK will not move even 1 mm, how costly it may be.”

As described above, there is a point of particular interest in director Kwon’s commentary. Choosing his words carefully, he implies that the DPRK has almost reached the limit of its patience. In other words, the commentary states that if the US remains arrogant without showing any change in its position, the DPRK may “add one thing to the state line for directing all efforts to the economic construction adopted (in the Plenary Meeting of Central Committee of Workers’ Party of Korea) in April and as a result, the word ‘pyongjin’ ((which means) ‘simultaneously conducting economic construction and building up nuclear forces’) may appear again and the change of the line could be seriously reconsidered.”

We are working on the Watch Project in hopes that agreement on the Korean Peninsula’s denuclearization will be implemented without being derailed. Examining the current situation based on this objective, we would like to point out that at this point the following two factors that have a role in preventing US-DPRK relations from deteriorating further. ① The North and South Korean governments have continued efforts to restore inter-Korean relations in accordance with the 2018 Inter-Korean summit agreements and have been making progress. ② Good US-South Korea relations have been maintained. It is important for civil society in the US, South Korea and Japan to accurately analyze this situation so as to appreciate and encourage efforts made by the North and South Korean governments, especially the role of the South Korean government that has been involved in both diplomatic processes.

In addition, civil society of the three countries needs to take note of the fact that the Japanese government has not, as yet, appeared on a diplomatic stage where it would naturally be expected to be. If the Japanese government had appeared on the stage with intention of getting involved in the peacebuilding process of Northeast Asia, there could be the possibility that those of us in civil society would have gained another influential country, which could be useful in dealing with current difficult circumstances.

However, unfortunately, the current reality of the Japanese government has fallen far short of such expectations.

As described in Watch Report 1, in his policy speech at the extraordinary Diet session after the cabinet reshuffle on October 24, Prime Minister Abe said, “Now it’s my turn to meet face to face with Chairman Kim Jong-Un. I will seek to break the shell of distrust, resolve the abduction issue, nuclear, and missile issues, settle the unfortunate past, and normalize Japan’s relations with the DPRK.”

However, in subsequent Japanese politics, almost no effort to demonstrate his words can be found. Not only in the Abe administration, but in the Diet, overall debate on the Korean Peninsula issue has been low key. At the start of the House of Councilors Committee on Foreign Affairs and Defense, Minister for Foreign Affairs Taro Kono stated as follows, and the policy expressed was related only to the implementation of UN Security Council resolutions.
“It is important that the summit agreement written clearly in the joint statement at the Singapore summit between the US and the DPRK, including North Korea’s commitment toward complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, is completely and immediately implemented, and it is indispensable to ensure the full implementation of UN Security Council resolutions by all countries of the UN.” [2]
Also, at the House of Representatives Committee on Foreign Affairs, when asked about the nature of his recognition of the DPRK’s current situation, Foreign Minister Kono answered that the threat of North Korea remained unchanged and underscored the importance of the implementation of UN Security Council resolutions.
“Since the Singapore Summit, North Korea has not conducted nuclear and missile tests, but the situation remains unchanged where North Korea still possesses a number of Rodong missiles and its nuclear weapons program has considerably advanced. As perception that North Korea still poses the threat to international community remains unchanged, I’d like to continue to maintain the current situation of concerted international efforts wherein the international community fully implements the relevant UN Security Council resolutions while maintaining solidarity for the realization of North Korea’s CVID (complete, verifiable, and irreversible dismantlement) of nuclear weapons and missiles.” [3]

It’s not an exaggeration to say that the Japanese government’s policy, which has been articulated thus far, is limited to the obsolete policy of strict implementation of sanctions against the DPRK based on UN Security Council resolutions, and has stayed unchanged since before the historic Singapore summit was held.

In particular, the Japanese government has been actively engaged in a crackdown on sanctions evasion through illicit ship-to-ship transfers by DPRK vessels. In November, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) issued a press release concerning ship-to-ship transfers, in which the following position of MOFA is stated.
“Japan considers that the international community needs to fully implement the relevant UN Security Council resolutions (UNSCRs) while maintaining solidarity for the realization of North Korea’s dismantlement of all weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and ballistic missiles of all ranges in a complete, verifiable, and irreversible manner. In this regard, Japan welcomes and highly appreciates the efforts made by partner countries to that end. Japan will continue to work closely with all partner countries to ensure effectiveness of the relevant UNSCRs.”[4]

Unfortunately, regarding denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, what has been communicated positively by Japan’s MOFA to civil society in Japan is limited to efforts to put pressure on the DPRK by ensuring the implementation of UN Security Council resolutions, as described above. In late November, one of the authors of this report spoke at a symposium held by an NGO in Tokyo at which a mid-level official of MOFA’s Disarmament, Non-proliferation and Science Department was invited to speak as well. The position of the MOFA concerning the North Korean nuclear issue as explained to the audience during the symposium was, “Nothing is more important than urging the UN member states to implement UN Security Council resolutions.” The statement fails to recognize the obligations on both sides.

Does Japan MOFA recognize that the US and the DPRK agreement at the Singapore summit contains not only DPRK’s “commitment to complete denuclearization,” but also a US “commitment to providing security guarantees to the DPRK”? Dose it recognize that to fully realize the summit agreements, the implementation of both sides’ commitments needs to advance simultaneously?

As debate on this issue in the Diet is lacking, it will be vitally important for not only Japanese citizens, but also worldwide citizens interested in this issue, to receive clear answers to these questions. Fortunately, at the launch of the Watch Project, the Peace Depot was able to meet and exchange opinions with a high-ranking official, the number two figure of MOFA’s Asian and Oceanian Affairs Bureau which oversees this issue. The official’s answer to these questions was clear. He replied, “We’re aware that the agreement contains both sides’ commitments. I can’t tell you the details, but we have maintained close contact with the US with such a recognition.” The answer meets only minimum requirements, but must be considered good news to citizens. (Takuya MORIYAMA and Hiromichi UMEBAYASHI)

[1] “Institute for American Studies of DPRK Foreign Ministry Urges U.S. to Abandon Foolish Daydream” KCNA, November 2, 2018.
[2]  Foreign Minister Taro KONO’s statement at House of Councilors Committee on Foreign Affairs and Defense, Japanese Diet Minutes, November 13, 2018 (in Japanese).
[3]  Foreign Minister Taro KONO’s response at House of Representatives Committee on Foreign Affairs, Japanese Diet Minutes, November 14, 2018 (in Japanese).
[4] Press Release “Monitoring and surveillance activities by concerned states against illicit maritime activities including ship-to-ship transfers with North Korean flagged vessels prohibited by UNSCRs”, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan, November 6, 2018

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